Mindful Drinking: The Rising Trend of Better-For-You Beverages
August 22, 2024
In 2005, Ted Fleming, Founder of Partake Brewing, a GroundForce Capital portfolio company, was diagnosed with Crohn’s disease.
Navigating a new landscape for his health inspired him to explore better-for-you drinking options and becoming a dad in 2010 was a tipping point. Ted decided to give up alcohol.
While his decision was firm, it wasn’t an easy one. Ted quickly realized how slim the options were for non-alcoholic (NA) brands at restaurants, bars, and virtually every social setting. In an interview with Dry Atlas, Ted said:
“When I’d go out with friends […] I’d say, ‘Hey, what do you have that’s non-alc?’ If I was lucky, I’d get a Shirley Temple. One question stuck with me: why can’t I have a good craft beer with my friends in this situation?”
Ted called this question a “nudge” – one that sparked his entry into the NA space with Partake Brewing. Ted’s initial goal was to solve a problem for himself. Ultimately, he created a solution for many others.
Since Ted’s journey began, the growth in alternatives to alcoholic beverages has continued to gain momentum. Today, consumers want to make healthier choices without compromising their social lives, and innovative companies like Partake are stepping in to fill this niche.
Why NA beverages?
Transparent dialogues from celebrities and influencers sharing health benefits from their sober-curious journeys have become commonplace on social media. As a result, an increasing number of people want to tap into NA health benefits. To name a few:
- Improved mental health: Alcohol alters our brain chemistry and can increase stress and anxiety in the long run.
- Better sleep: Cutting back on alcohol could improve REM sleep, combatting brain fog.
- Improved heart health: Alcohol can disrupt heart health, contributing to high blood pressure, strokes, and cardiac arrhythmia.
- Heightened focus: Going alcohol-free enhances the functioning of the prefrontal cortex which is responsible for decision-making and higher-order thinking.
- Strengthened immune system: Reduced alcohol consumption has a marked impact on gut health that contributes to increased immunity.
While health is one part of the equation, drinking is a huge part of Western culture, and it isn’t going away anytime soon.
People like Ted are looking for something that can replace soft drinks and soda without reverting to alcohol, instead of being persistently asked, “Where’s your drink?” at parties.
Low- and non-alcoholic beverages that replicate the flavor, and taste of alcohol give people these inclusive alternatives. Instead of replacing the market for alcohol, the market could be augmented by catering to a group that never had options in the first place.
This is evidenced by Ted’s story and Partake Brewing, a GroundForce Capital portfolio company crafting award-winning non-alcoholic beers with natural ingredients that are low on calories, too.
Similarly, Liquid Death, another GroundForce Capital portfolio company now valued at more than $1.4 billion, was marketed as “the healthiest thing you can drink”, to concert-goers who were looking to quit drinking.
How young consumers are leading the charge
For younger generations, cutting back or completely abstaining from alcohol is a rising trend. Millennials form the largest consumer group for low/no alcohol drinks, driving the demand for alternatives.
According to BCG, “23% of Gen Z and 24% of millennial respondents reported drinking non-alcoholic beer, wine or spirits often, while only 6% of Gen X and 1% of boomers said the same.”
As a result of this higher demand, innovation within the space is accelerating. The value of the global market is now at $13 billion, and the no/low-alcohol category is expected to grow annually by 7% (CAGR) between 2022 and 2026. The category is growing significantly faster in the U.S. than it is globally at the moment. From 2019 to 2023, the low/no alcohol market in the U.S. grew volume at a 25% CAGR and is forecasted to grow volume by 15% from 2023 to 2027.
Industry leaders are taking note as well. Anheuser Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer in the world, aims for its no and low-alcohol beers to account for one-fifth of sales by 2025. This shift parallels Coca-Cola’s expansion into healthier low-sugar beverages and could be the alcohol industry’s reckoning with the growth in health and wellness trends.
Low-to-no alcohol adoption
Market insights point to unique trends for low-to-no alcohol adoption, which niches are exploding, and what we can expect to see for consumer adoption.
Here’s how the numbers break down:
- Low-to-no beer cider, wine, and spirit products grew “over 7% in volume across 10 key global markets in 2022”, according to IWSR Drinks Market Analysis.
- In 2018, the market value of these products was $8 billion. In 2022, this value surpassed $11 billion.
The growth is occurring at a faster pace too. From 2018 to 2022, the CAGR grew by 5% in the top 10 markets. From 2023 to 2027, volumes are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 6%.
NA beverages are spearheading this, with an expected growth of 7%, and low-alcohol would expand by 3% over the same timescale.
Within these niches, some beverages are more popular than others:
- No-alcohol accounts for two-thirds of no/low-alcohol category volumes, with 72% of these made up of beer or cider (as of December 2023).
- Interest in options like kombucha and agave has spiked.
- The global kombucha market was estimated at $2.97 billion in 2024 by Mordor Intelligence and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.48% in the next 5 years.
GroundForce Capital’s portfolio company, SYSTM Foods, recently acquired Humm Kombucha, and it’s positioned to tap into this growth.
Another indicator of the adoption of no/low alcohols is the difference in mature and developed markets. Penetration of no/low-alcohols in mature markets like Germany and Spain is as much as 10%. But in developing markets like the U.S., Brazil, Canada, and Australia, the figure is less than 2%.
Growth forecasts in mature markets are only a CAGR of 2% from 2023 to 2027. In contrast, new entrants from developing markets are highly likely to be repeat customers.
The mindful drinking initiative
The trend is also being driven more by “substituters,” or mindful drinkers, who switch between full-strength alcohol and no/low alcohol. Their presence is growing:
- 82% of non-alcoholic beverage consumers also consume alcohol, showing a preference for moderation over abstinence.
- Substituters have grown from 43% to 45% as compared to “abstainers”, who have declined from 19% to 17%.
- In the U.S. and France, substituters have reached proportions of 45% and 50% respectively.
There is evidence to suggest that even when people do drink, they are opting for options with health benefits. According to OI-Glass research:
- 44% of alcohol drinkers in the U.S. try to select the “healthiest alcohol option.”
- 57% of 22 to 54-year-olds review nutritional information before drinking.
Brands like Flying Embers and JuneShine which eschew artificial flavors, sweeteners, and sugars are capturing this market as well. Flying Embers is renowned for its pioneering work in natural carbonation and adaptogen blends, while JuneShine has established itself as a frontrunner in spirit-based cocktails.
Companies like these are feeding into the mindful drinking movement while proving indulgence and nutritious alternatives can coexist in a single beverage.
The bottom line
Although low-to-no alcoholic beverages may never fully replace alcohol, one thing is clear: better-for-you beverages are here to stay and will continue to take share of the mouth and wallet of the consumer.
The shift in drinking preferences is an opportunistic time for emerging companies. Some might be inspired to make health and lifestyle improvements like Ted Fleming. Others will be looking to tap into new markets that reflect consumer preferences for healthier alternatives.
Brands that solidify their position in the space will emerge as market leaders in one of the most promising beverage categories today.